Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Bologna | 
| 28.28% (  -0.01) | 26.69% (  -0.03) | 45.03% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 49.38% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.83% (  0.1) | 55.17% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.59% (  0.08) | 76.41% (  -0.08) | 
| Parma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.32% (  0.05) | 34.68% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.59% (  0.05) | 71.41% (  -0.05) | 
| Bologna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.59% (  0.06) | 24.4% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.17% (  0.09) | 58.82% (  -0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Parma | Draw | Bologna | 
| 1-0 @ 8.96% (  -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.69% (  0) 2-0 @ 4.75% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.36% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.67% (  0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.28% | 1-1 @ 12.64% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.46% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% (  0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 11.93% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.92% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 8.42% (  -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 3.96% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.22% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% (  0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.03% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
