Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Bologna

Harder (77')
Debast (43'), Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (66'), Hjulmand (87'), Tcherno Quenda (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pobega (21')
Holm (22'), Beukema (42'), Iling-Junior (44'), Lykogiannis (56'), Erlic (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, January 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, January 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Bologna
66.33% ( 3.39)	19.48% ( -1.27)	14.19% ( -2.12)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

1.44)

42.4% (

-1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

1.43)

64.8% (

-1.42)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

1.41)

11.91% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.76% (

2.91)

37.24% (

-2.9)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

-1.96)

41.97% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

-1.74)

78.41% (

1.75)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.33%

Bologna 14.19%

Draw 19.48%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.6) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.56% Total : 66.33%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.48%	0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.19%