Bologna

2 - 1

Dortmund

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.