Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
Dortmund

Machino (27'), Harres (32'), Bernhardsson (45+4'), Arp (90+8')
Porath (81'), Arp (90+9')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Reyna (71'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Duranville (42'), Anton (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
24.88% ( 0.12)	21.33%	53.79% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.26% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.74% (

0.12)

34.26% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.84% (

0.14)

56.16% (

-0.14)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.16)

26.2% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.21)

61.3% (

-0.2)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

0.01)

12.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.63% (

0.01)

39.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 24.88%

Borussia Dortmund 53.79%

Draw 21.33%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.88%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Dortmund

Holstein Kiel

16.4%

Draw

12.1%

Borussia Dortmund

71.6%

Head to Head

May 1, 2021 7.30pm

Semi-Finals

Dortmund

5-0

Holstein Kiel

Reyna (16', 23'), Reus (26'), Hazard (32'), Bellingham (41')

Hauptmann (37'), Lorenz (86')

> Preview

Form Guide

Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 5-1 Augsburg

Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig

St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz

Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen

Wolfsburg 1-3 Dortmund

Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund 2-3 Barcelona

Borussia M'bach 1-1 Dortmund

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table