

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 40.05% ( | 23.51% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.21% ( | 60.79% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( | 19.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( | 21.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.73% ( | 54.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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