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Bundesliga

Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Freiburg logo

Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg

Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
67.46% (0.43600000000001 0.44)18.4% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)14.14% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 54.87% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (-0.611 -0.61)37.43% (0.605 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (-0.661 -0.66)59.65% (0.654 0.65)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.79% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)10.21% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.5% (-0.139 -0.14)33.49% (0.133 0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.11% (-0.92 -0.92)38.89% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (-0.879 -0.88)75.62% (0.873 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.45%
    Freiburg 14.14%
    Draw 18.4%
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.241 0.24)
3-0 @ 7.86% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.4%
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.14%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund
72.2%
Draw
17.7%
Freiburg
10.1%
79
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-0
Freiburg
Malen (16', 45+7'), Fullkrug (87')
Ryerson (14'), Malen (73')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
2-4
Dortmund
Holer (45+2'), Hofler (45+6')
Lienhart (87'), Eggestein (89')
Hofler (82')
Hummels (11', 88'), Malen (60'), Reus (90+2')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Wolf (68'), Can (78')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Holer (45')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-3
Dortmund
Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
Demirovic (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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