Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Freiburg
Without Emre Can in midfield offering protection for the hosts' backline, Freiburg could create a number of chances on Saturday. Having said that, Dortmund's injury crisis has lessened and their record at Signal Iduna Park is outstanding, and Sahin's side could be boosted to victory by the home crowd. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
67.46% ( 0.44) | 18.4% ( -0.06) | 14.14% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
