Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Orban (47'), Geertruida (58'), Openda (79')
Adamu (38'), Openda (88'), Vermeeren (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doan (15')
Geertruida (46'), Lienhart (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
54.47% ( 0.53)	22.87% ( -0.11)	22.66% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 55.99% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

43.92% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

66.31% (

-0)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

0.18)

16.04% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6% (

0.33)

45.4% (

-0.33)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-0.38)

33.32% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-0.41)

69.93% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 54.47%

Freiburg 22.66%

Draw 22.86%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.47%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.66%