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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
47.22% (![]() | 22.69% (![]() | 30.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% (![]() | 36.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.14% (![]() | 58.86% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% (![]() | 15.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% (![]() | 45.25% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% (![]() | 23.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% (![]() | 58.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 10.03% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |