

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 79.36% ( | 12.79% ( | 7.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.96% ( | 28.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.48% ( | 5.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.48% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.56% ( | 43.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.34% ( | 79.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 4-0 @ 7.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 4-1 @ 5.86% ( 5-0 @ 4.07% ( 5-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 6-1 @ 1.64% ( 5-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 4.93% Total : 79.36% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 12.79% | 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0-1 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 7.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 37 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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