

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 82.87%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 82.87% ( | 11.14% ( | 5.99% ( | 
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 72.65% ( | 27.35% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 52.07% ( | 47.93% ( | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.2% ( | 4.81% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.61% ( | 19.39% ( | 
| Werder Bremen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.11% ( | 47.89% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.85% ( | 83.15% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 3-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 4-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 4-1 @ 5.99% ( 5-0 @ 4.94% ( 5-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 6-1 @ 1.84% ( 5-2 @ 1.34% ( 7-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 4.26% Total : 82.86% | 1-1 @ 5.14% ( 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0-0 @ 2.3% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 11.14% | 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0-1 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.99% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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