

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 18.88% (  -1.12) | 21.84% (  -0.1) | 59.28% (  1.22) | 
| Both teams to score 53.58% (  -1.61) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.69% (  -1.2) | 44.31% (  1.2) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.31% (  -1.18) | 66.68% (  1.18) | 
| FC Koln Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.72% (  -1.88) | 37.27% (  1.88) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.94% (  -1.9) | 74.06% (  1.9) | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.42% (  -0.01) | 14.58% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.34% (  -0.03) | 42.65% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 1-0 @ 5.36% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 5.1% (  -0.26) 2-0 @ 2.65% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.68% (  -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.61% (  -0.17) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.88% | 1-1 @ 10.32% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% (  0.28) 2-2 @ 4.91% (  -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.04% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 10.46% (  0.53) 0-2 @ 10.07% (  0.5) 1-2 @ 9.94% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 6.47% (  0.32) 1-3 @ 6.38% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.15% (  -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.11% (  0.15) 1-4 @ 3.07% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% (  -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.2% (  0.06) 1-5 @ 1.18% (  -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.27% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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