

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 80.9% ( | 11.11% ( | 7.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.21% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.13% ( | 34.87% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.62% ( | 3.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 85.19% ( | 14.8% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.09% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 4-1 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 4-0 @ 6.35% ( 5-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 5-0 @ 4.3% ( 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 4-2 @ 3.65% ( 6-1 @ 2.61% ( 5-2 @ 2.48% ( 6-0 @ 2.43% ( 6-2 @ 1.4% ( 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 7-1 @ 1.26% ( 7-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 5.06% Total : 80.9% | 1-1 @ 4.19% ( 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 11.11% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 7.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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