Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 81.38% ( | 11.75% ( | 6.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.48% ( | 26.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.11% ( | 46.88% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( | 4.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.34% ( | 19.66% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( | 44.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.32% ( | 80.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 4-0 @ 7.55% ( 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 4-1 @ 6.08% ( 5-0 @ 4.56% ( 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 6-0 @ 2.29% ( 6-1 @ 1.85% ( 5-2 @ 1.48% ( 7-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 4.57% Total : 81.38% | 1-1 @ 5.32% ( 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0-0 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 1.02% Total : 11.75% | 1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0-1 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 6.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 62 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 19 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 18 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 17 |
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