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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Mar 28, 2025 at 1pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Alanyaspor

Samudio (43'), Gaich (81')
Djenepo (86'), Gaich (89'), Dursun (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cordova (22')
Ozdemir (42'), Karaca (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 4-0 Antalyaspor
Friday, March 14 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Alanyaspor
Saturday, March 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 2-1 Alanyaspor

While Alanyaspor will be hoping for a new manager bounce under Joao Pereira, their away record this season makes it difficult to get behind them with any real confidence. The hosts won the reverse fixture 2-1 in October, which was their fourth league match unbeaten against this opponent, and we feel they will be able to extend that record with another three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Antalyaspor in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Antalyaspor.

Result
AntalyasporDrawAlanyaspor
39.66% (0.192 0.19) 26.16% (0.055 0.05) 34.18% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.44% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (-0.269 -0.27)51.07% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (-0.239 -0.24)72.93% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.3% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)28.46% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.359 -0.36)64.22% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 39.66%
    Alanyaspor 34.18%
    Draw 26.15%
AntalyasporDrawAlanyaspor
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor

Antalyaspor
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Alanyaspor
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Alanyaspor
1-2
Antalyaspor
Ui-jo (25')
Richard (45+1'), Lopes (90+2')
Djenepo (63'), Gaich (75')
Kelven (87')
May 24, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 38
Alanyaspor
1-1
Antalyaspor
Ui-jo (3')
Buksa (81')
Sari (84')
Jan 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Antalyaspor
0-0
Alanyaspor
Yehezkel (56'), Sari (81')
Apr 14, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
Antalyaspor
3-1
Alanyaspor
Sinik (27'), Ndao (39'), Yildirim (85')
Mahgoub (21')
Oct 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Alanyaspor
3-2
Antalyaspor
Mahgoub (44'), Lusamba (51'), Doumbia (70')
Wright (57', 87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray34285187315689
2Fenerbahce34256386345281
3Samsunspor341861051381360
4BesiktasBesiktas341611754342059
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34166125851754
6EyupsporEyupspor35148135046450
7TrabzonsporTrabzonspor3412111154431147
8Goztepe SKGoztepe SK3412111157471047
9KasimpasaKasimpasa341113105959046
10KonyasporKonyaspor34137144346-346
11KayserisporKayserispor341111124354-1144
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor34128143658-2244
13GaziantepGaziantep34127154146-543
14Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34134174555-1043
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor34109153949-1039
16Bodrumspor3499162538-1336
17SivassporSivasspor3598184458-1435
RHatayspor3458214167-2623
RAdana Demirspor3424282988-59-2


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