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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fshalog.png "Shamrock Rovers")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fspalog.png "St Patrick's Athletic")
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
53.59% ( 0.2) | 24.79% ( 0.15) | 21.62% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( -0.92) | 52.99% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -0.79) | 74.59% ( 0.79) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.28) | 19.74% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.24% ( -0.45) | 51.76% ( 0.46) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% ( -0.86) | 39.38% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.92% ( -0.81) | 76.08% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.62% |
How you voted: Shamrock vs St Patrick's
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 27 |
| 6 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 27 |
| 7 | Galway United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 13 |
| 10 | Sligo RoversSligo | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 12 |
| > League of Ireland Premier Full Table | |||||||||
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