Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
St Patrick's Athletic

Shelbourne
2 - 1
St Patrick's

Wood (48'), McInroy (90')
Wilson (22'), Lunney (45+1'), Coyle (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melia (29')
Hoare (53'), Mulraney (90+5')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-1 Waterford
Monday, May 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
44.41% (0.020000000000003 0.02)27.31% (0.023 0.02)28.28% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)57.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)78.26% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.74% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)60.67% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)72.69% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 44.41%
    St Patrick's Athletic 28.28%
    Draw 27.3%
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
St Patrick's
0-0
Shelbourne
Lennon (59')
Coyle (27'), Martin (28'), McInroy (83')
Sep 30, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 30
Shelbourne
2-3
St Patrick's
Tulloch (76'), Smith (81')
Barrett (14'), Gannon (70'), Martin (90+6'), Ledwidge (90+1')
Smith (90+3')
Redmond (22'), Kavanagh (63'), Kazeem (88')
Breslin (10'), Lennon (79'), Redmond (90+6')
May 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
1-2
Shelbourne
Mulraney (73')
Lennon (19'), McLaughlin (70'), Keeley (80'), Rogers (90+7')
Boyd (14'), Caffrey (90+6')
O'Sullivan (45+2'), Coyle (72'), Barrett (81'), Caffrey (90+7')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Shelbourne
1-0
St Patrick's
Martin (33')
Duff (19')

Lennon (18'), McLaughlin (48'), Bolger (72'), Keeley (82'), Nolan (85')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
St Patrick's
1-2
Shelbourne
Mulraney (71')
Kavanagh (35'), Breslin (65'), Sjoberg (80')
Jarvis (48', 58')
Coyle (29'), Burt (51'), Wilson (59'), O'Sullivan (90+3'), Lunney (90+5'), Farrell (90+7')