Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Shelbourne

Derry
2 - 0
Shelbourne

Duffy (14'), Boyce (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ledwidge (52')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shelbourne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Derry
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 Shelbourne
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawShelbourne
51.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)26.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)22.18% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.25% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.17% (-0.07 -0.07)57.84% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)78.56% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.073 -0.07)56.14% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.42% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)41.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)78.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 51.55%
    Shelbourne 22.18%
    Draw 26.26%
Derry CityDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.18%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Shelbourne
3-1
Derry
Boyd (11', 45' pen.), Caffrey (15')
Boyd (53'), Barrett (84')
Duffy (14')
O'Reilly (22'), Winchester (38'), Diallo (82')
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Derry
0-1
Shelbourne

Davenport (78'), Mullen (87')
Wood (85')
Wood (86'), Kearns (87')
Aug 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Shelbourne
0-0
Derry
Gannon (49'), Martin (51'), Griffin (84')
Todd (11'), Coll (32'), Connolly (35')
Todd (35')
> Preview
May 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Derry
1-1
Shelbourne
McMullan (56')
McMullan (24'), Patching (32'), O'Reilly (63'), Kelly (75'), Boyce (88')
Boyd (89')
Apr 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 8
Shelbourne
0-0
Derry
Smith (32'), Barrett (60'), Boyd (85')
Connolly (5')