Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 14
May 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
1 - 0
St Patrick's

Mullen (48')
McMullan (12'), Ferguson (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grivosti (61'), Breslin (75'), Redmond (90+4')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-0 Galway United
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
49.86% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)26.18% (0.02 0.02)23.96% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)56.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.038 -0.04)77.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.54% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.058 -0.06)56.12% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)75.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 49.86%
    St Patrick's Athletic 23.96%
    Draw 26.17%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
St Patrick's
2-0
Derry
Keena (16' pen., 67' pen.)
Grivosti (47'), Grivosti (48')

Connolly (39'), Hoban (48'), Diallo (76'), Patton (90+1')
Winchester (47')
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
St Patrick's
1-0
Derry
Kavanagh (44')
Lennon (36'), Leavy (84'), Palmer (84')

Idehen (23'), Boyce (25'), Diallo (34'), McEleney (53'), Davenport (88')
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry

Redmond (82')
McMullan (76')
Hoban (22'), Coll (88')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-1
St Patrick's
Mullen (16', 56'), Hoban (51')
Hoban (13'), McJannett (20'), O'Reilly (72')
Keeley (54')
Lennon (38'), McLaughlin (74'), Keeley (82')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derry
2-1
St Patrick's
Hoban (65'), Mullen (90+2')
Hoban (31')
Keating (47')
Breslin (66'), Pitaluga (80'), Kavanagh (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shamrock RoversShamrock19106333161736
2Drogheda UnitedDrogheda197932519630
3Bohemians1810082119230
4St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's198562622429
5Shelbourne196942220227
6Derry CityDerry188372221127
7Galway United186662121024
8Waterford UnitedWaterford187292030-1023
9Cork City182792131-1013
10Sligo RoversSligo1833122234-1212
> League of Ireland Premier Full Table


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