
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's2 - 0Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 4-3 Sligo
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
5
Last Game: Derry 1-2 Waterford
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 43.09% ( | 27.1% ( | 29.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( | 56.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( | 77.14% ( |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( | 25.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( | 60.72% ( |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.99% ( |

