Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 3-0 Estoril
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Braga 4-1 AVS
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
49
We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Braga
Braga have shown real steel away from home, but Estoril's record at Coimbra da Mota – having scored in each of their last six home matches – suggests they can find a way through. That said, the hosts' defensive absentees could prove costly, potentially tipping the balance in favour of the Archbishops, who have far more riding on the outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
26.67% ( -0.35) | 25.66% ( -0.05) | 47.67% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
