

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 60.11% ( | 20.84% ( | 19.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( | 39.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% ( | 61.86% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( | 12.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.93% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( | 34.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.01% ( | 70.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 5-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 60.11% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 19.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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