MX23RW : Sunday, May 18 04:01:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Braga

Gyokeres (15')
Inacio (64'), Hjulmand (85'), St Juste (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cruz Patrao (87')
Oliveira (14'), Moutinho (30'), Bambu (61'), Niakate (65')
Moutinho (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Thursday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Braga

Considering both sides come into this encounter in excellent form, the contest promises to be much tighter than the previous three at Jose Alvalade. Additionally, the visitors arrive with fresher legs, having last played four days before Sporting's clash with Rio Ave, though we expect the home side to edge this one, given their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
60.11% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.84% (0.134 0.13) 19.05% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.48% (-0.669 -0.67)39.52% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.14% (-0.701 -0.7)61.86% (0.704 0.7)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (-0.238 -0.24)12.78% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.93% (-0.496 -0.5)39.07% (0.498 0.5)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.425 -0.42)34.29% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.458 -0.46)70.99% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 60.11%
    Braga 19.05%
    Draw 20.84%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 19.05%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
87.7%
Draw
4.6%
Braga
7.7%
65
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 11
Braga
2-4
Sporting Lisbon
Horta (20', 45')
Ferreira (38'), Fernandes (45+3'), El Ouazzani (57'), Oliveira (68'), Martinez (90+1')
Morita (58'), Hjulmand (81'), Harder (89', 90+4')
Goncalves (13'), Diomande (53'), Hjulmand (80'), Tcherno Quenda (90+1')
Feb 11, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 21
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Trincao (8'), Quaresma (18'), Gyokeres (71'), Braganca (73'), Santos (85')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
16SC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
18BoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!