

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw has a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga has a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it is 1-2 (3.14%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 74.47% ( | 14.93% ( | 10.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.47% ( | 29.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.38% ( | 50.62% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.28% ( | 6.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.14% ( | 24.86% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( | 38.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.29% ( | 75.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 4-0 @ 5.8% ( 4-1 @ 5.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 5-1 @ 2.95% ( 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 6-0 @ 1.41% ( 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 6-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 4.29% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.93% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 1-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
| 2 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
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