Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto - Primeira Liga - December 18, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 0

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gyokeres (11'), Goncalves (60')
Santos (25'), Quaresma (57'), Inacio (70'), Esgaio (90+7'), Hjulmand (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (15'), Varela (17'), Taremi (68'), Conceicao (81')
Pepe (51')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 5-3 Shakhtar
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Porto

While Porto have been the dominant side in this fixture over several seasons, Sporting's home form this term cannot be overlooked. With the quality of attack on display here, this match has the potential to be an absolute goal fest, but we feel these two will end up sharing the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Porto had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
52.83% ( -0.41)	23.49% ( 0.27)	23.68% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.46% (

-1.06)

45.54% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-1.02)

67.87% (

1.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.53)

17.21% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.95)

47.49% (

0.95)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

-0.47)

33.3% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

-0.51)

69.92% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 52.83%

Porto 23.68%

Draw 23.48%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.68%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon

36.1%

Draw

31.3%

Porto

32.6%

Head to Head

Feb 12, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 20

1-2

Chermiti (90+7')

Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')

Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm

Final

0-2

Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')

Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 3

3-0

Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')

Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm

Semi-Finals 2nd Leg

1-0

(Sporting Lisbon win 3-1 on aggregate)

Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')

Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm

Semi-Finals 1st Leg

1-2

Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')

Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')