Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.01% (![]() | 24.31% (![]() | 39.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% (![]() | 42.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% (![]() | 64.91% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% (![]() | 23.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.67% (![]() | 57.32% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% (![]() | 21.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% (![]() | 54.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.01% | 1-1 @ 11.22% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.63% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |