MX23RW : Wednesday, January 10 22:39:31| >> :600:104578:104578:
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Joao Paulo II
Benfica
Lusitania
1 - 4
Benfica
Ferrara (45' pen.)
Bessa (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mario (9'), Silva (36'), Cabral (68'), Gouveia (87')
Aursnes (43')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Lusitania and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Lusitania 0-7 Benfica

Regardless of how strong Schmidt opts to go with his starting XI, even a second or third-string Benfica side should comfortably thrash their fourth-tier opponents here. Lusitania will take encouragement from Benfica's recent struggles against lower-league opposition, but they will be completely out of their depth in this one and will just have to enjoy the occasion and remain hopeful of keeping the score down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 92.79%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 1.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.64%) and 0-2 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Lusitania win it was 1-0 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
LusitaniaDrawBenfica
1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0) 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 92.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 33.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Lusitania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)93.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)2.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lusitania 1.7%
    Benfica 92.77%
    Draw 5.51%
LusitaniaDrawBenfica
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 1.7%
1-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 1.71%
2-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 5.51%
0-3 @ 13.85%
0-4 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.38%
0-5 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 5.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 5.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-5 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-7 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-6 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-8 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-7 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 92.77%

How you voted: Lusitania vs Benfica

Lusitania
12.0%
Draw
12.0%
Benfica
76.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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16Brentford1954102631-519
17Everton2082102428-416
18Luton TownLuton1943122337-1415
19Burnley2032152041-2111
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