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Gil Vicente logo
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente
3 - 1
Amarante
Miro (3'), Fernandes (88'), Neto (90')
Gbane (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Santos (81')
Vila (63')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Gil Vicente and Amarante.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Paredes 0-2 Amarante
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.88%. A win for Amarante had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Amarante win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawAmarante
55.88% (0.354 0.35) 21.81% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 22.31% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 59.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.49% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.122 0.12)14.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.238 0.24)41.61% (-0.237 -0.24)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.259 -0.26)67.48% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 55.88%
    Amarante 22.31%
    Draw 21.81%
Gil VicenteDrawAmarante
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.31%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Amarante

Gil Vicente
61.1%
Draw
22.2%
Amarante
16.7%
18
rhs 2.0
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