

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 41.42% ( | 25.05% ( | 33.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( | 46.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( | 68.65% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( | 22.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.2% ( | 55.8% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.19% ( | 61.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 62 | 20 | 42 | 62 |
| 3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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