

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 23.71% ( | 21.96% ( | 54.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( | 38.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( | 60.85% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( | 29.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.55% ( | 65.45% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( | 14.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.05% ( | 41.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0-5 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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