

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 64.82% | 21.53% | 13.64% |
| Both teams to score 43.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% | 52.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% | 73.84% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% | 15.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.79% | 44.2% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.21% | 48.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.2% | 83.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.89% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.94% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.39% 1-2 @ 3.62% 0-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 13.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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