

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 44.39% ( | 25.1% ( | 30.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( | 47.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( | 29.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.88% ( | 65.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
| 2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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