The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
We said: Gil Vicente 2-1 Moreirense
Gil Vicente will be looking to quickly return to winning ways after seeing their unbeaten run come to an end against the Arouquenses. They go up against a Moreirense side who have lost six of their last seven games and we predict they will come away with maximum points and heap more misery on the floundering visitors.Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
| 58.12% | 23.69% | 18.18% |
| Both teams to score 46.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
