

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 26.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-1 Moreirense with a probability of 12.49% and the second most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-0 Moreirense with a probability of 12.07%.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 46.71% | 26.36% | 26.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.02% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.61% | 57.38% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.72% | 72.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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