Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
47.33% | 25.76% | 26.91% |
Both teams to score 51.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.65% | 52.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% | 74.03% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% | 22.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% | 55.48% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% | 34.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% | 70.96% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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