Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
45.79% | 26.04% | 28.17% |
Both teams to score 51.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.29% | 52.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% | 74.34% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% | 22.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% | 33.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% | 70.09% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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