Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
