Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
