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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Bayern logo
Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern
Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

 We expect Bayern to cruise to victory in Berlin on Saturday, with their winning streak potentially continuing right through to breaking for the World Cup later this month. Hertha have struggled to score goals this season and those woes look set to hurt them at the weekend, with their improving defensive record unlikely to do them too much good against such a potent opposition attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
8.63% (-0.074900000000001 -0.07) 11.8% (0.029 0.03) 79.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.79% (-0.452 -0.45)19.21% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.04% (-0.659 -0.66)36.96% (0.66 0.66)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.565 -0.56)34.25% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.609 -0.61)70.95% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)3.8% (0.076 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.78% (-0.256 -0.26)16.22% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 8.63%
    Bayern Munich 79.57%
    Draw 11.8%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.39% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 8.63%
1-1 @ 4.56% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 11.8%
1-3 @ 8.13% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.59% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.17 0.17)
1-4 @ 6.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.2% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-5 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-6 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-5 @ 2.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-6 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.27% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-7 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 79.57%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Bayern

Hertha Berlin
9.2%
Draw
3.7%
Bayern Munich
87.2%
109
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (6'), Lewandowski (35', 70', 84'), Musiala (49')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Bayern

Darida (41'), Khedira (90+2')
Coman (21')
Pavard (31')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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