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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hertha Berlin logo
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Hertha Berlin
Fullkrug (85')
Weiser (55'), Stark (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (17'), Lukebakio (44'), Serdar (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hertha Berlin

 We can envisage an entertaining encounter at the Weserstadion on Friday night, especially if Hertha continue with the 4-2-2-2 system which they deployed for their win against Schalke last weekend. That would mean both teams playing with two out-and-out strikers, with a score draw arguably the most likely outcome given Bremen's drop-off in form in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
55.83% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.7%22.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 55.83%
    Hertha Berlin 22.47%
    Draw 21.7%
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 55.83%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin

Werder Bremen
56.4%
Draw
25.5%
Hertha Berlin
18.1%
149
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Sargent (7')
Bittencourt (80')
Lukebakio (70')
Klunter (57')
Feb 16, 2019 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Werder Bremen
Selke (25')
Rekik (27'), Lazaro (77'), Ibisevic (90')
Pizarro (90')
Langkamp (61'), Bargfrede (72'), Klaassen (90')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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