

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin | 
| 68.7% (  0.03) | 18.01% (  -0.01) | 13.29% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 53.84% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.4% (  0.03) | 37.59% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.17% (  0.04) | 59.83% (  -0.03) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.05% (  0.01) | 9.94% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.1% (  0.04) | 32.9% (  -0.04) | 
| Hertha Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.79% | 40.21% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.15% (  -0) | 76.84% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin | 
| 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.7% (  -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.2% (  0) 3-1 @ 7.47% (  0) 4-0 @ 4.73% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 4.31% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.4% (  0) 5-0 @ 2.18% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.99% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.96% (  0) 5-2 @ 0.91% (  0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 8.41% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% (  -0) 0-0 @ 4% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% (  0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.01% | 1-2 @ 3.83% (  -0) 0-1 @ 3.64% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.66% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% (  -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.29% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 | 
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 | 
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 | 
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