Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.