MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 15:24:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Werder Bremen logo
Freiburg
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Hofler (42'), Eggestein (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fullkrug (60'), Buchanan (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 St Pauli
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 2-2 Werder Bremen (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-2 Werder Bremen

 Despite their defeat in midweek, Werder's away form paired with Freiburg's recent fall off in league results suggests we could see another win on the road for Ole Werner's side. Freiburg's standards have dropped domestically in the last month and they could surrender their top four position if they do not put that right here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
48.65% (2.613 2.61) 23.44% (-0.441 -0.44) 27.9% (-2.169 -2.17)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.705 0.7)41.71% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.709 0.71)64.11% (-0.70400000000001 -0.7)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (1.303 1.3)17.33% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (2.234 2.23)47.71% (-2.229 -2.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-1.116 -1.12)27.95% (1.12 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (-1.446 -1.45)63.58% (1.451 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.65%
    Werder Bremen 27.9%
    Draw 23.44%
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.199 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.383 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.394 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.243 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.244 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg
52.6%
Draw
19.3%
Werder Bremen
28.1%
57
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg

Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
0-1
Werder Bremen
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-2
Freiburg
Rashica (9'), Gebre Selassie (59')
Bittencourt (57'), Sahin (64'), Veljkovic (83')
Petersen (28', 93')
Gunter (62'), Frantz (75'), Haberer (79')
Haberer (87')
Apr 13, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-1
Freiburg
Klaassen (77'), Gebre Selassie (85')
Augustinsson (66')
Waldschmidt (90')
Abrashi (37'), Stenzel (55'), Frantz (73')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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