Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
