Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
