

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 58.06% ( | 21.42% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( | 40.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( | 62.39% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( | 13.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.36% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( | 33.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.28% ( | 69.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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