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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Freiburg logo
Stuttgart
0 - 1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Freiburg

 We expect a fascinating tactical battle in Stuttgart on Saturday, with both teams capable of counter-attacking in the blink of an eye. Freiburg are a more consistent collective unit, though, and we expect them to bounce back from their unfortunate defeat to Dortmund with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
32.48% (-0.251 -0.25) 25.19% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.32% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (-0.108 -0.11)47.3% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (-0.101 -0.1)69.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)27.69% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.272 -0.27)63.24% (0.271 0.27)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.105 0.11)55.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 32.48%
    Freiburg 42.32%
    Draw 25.18%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.48%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
29.4%
Draw
23.5%
Freiburg
47.1%
34
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (71'), Wamangituka (81')
Didavi (25'), Wamangituka (44')
Petersen (8'), Sallai (26'), Grifo (48')
Holer (35'), Kubler (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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