| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 57.2% ( | 20.97% ( | 21.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.88% ( | 36.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( | 12.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.43% ( | 38.57% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 5-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 4.16% Total : 57.2% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.04% Total : 21.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 23 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 3 |
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
