| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | -7 | 45 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 51.96% | 21.91% | 26.13% |
| Both teams to score 63.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% | 35.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% | 14.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.77% | 61.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 22 | 44 | 49 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 38 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 33 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 27 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 19 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 19 |
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