Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August.
A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.79) 
0.15) 
