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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
58.2% | 21.92% | 19.87% |
Both teams to score 55.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% | 43.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% | 65.62% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.43% | 14.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.38% | 42.62% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% | 35.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% | 72.36% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.62% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.08% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.82% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.35% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 60 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 49 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
17 | Stuttgart | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 29 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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