Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 32.67% | 24.84% | 42.48% |
| Both teams to score 57.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% | 45.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% | 68.01% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% | 26.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.93% | 62.07% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.41% | 54.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Koln | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
| 18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
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