MX23RW : Sunday, October 1 09:26:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo
Augsburg
1 - 2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Freiburg

A fairly common result for both of these sides this season has been a 1-1 draw, so that is what we are predicting for it to finish on Saturday. Freiburg could well nick it, but it is unlikely to be an open and high scoring encounter between two sides relatively quiet on the goals front at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
32.67%24.84%42.48%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93%62.07%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41%54.59%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.67%
    Freiburg 42.49%
    Draw 24.84%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.49%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
34.3%
Draw
34.3%
Freiburg
31.4%
35
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Vargas (80')
Caligiuri (20'), Gumny (24'), Uduokhai (67')
Grifo (64')
Demirovic (7')
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Max (38')
Baier (50'), Richter (55'), Gouweleeuw (80'), Khedira (88')
Haberer (51')
Abrashi (59')
Sep 21, 2019 2.30pm
[nma]
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
2.30pm
Falcons
@
Jags
6pm
Broncos
@
Bears
6pm
Dolphins
@
Bills
6pm
Ravens
@
Browns
6pm
Rams
@
Colts
6pm
Washington
@
Eagles
6pm
Vikings
@
Panthers
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Saints
6pm
Steelers
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cowboys
5.30am
Martin Etcheverry
Ruud
7am
Nishioka
Sinner
8.30am
Alcaraz
Musetti
12.30pm
Rune
Dimitrov
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen65102061416
2Stuttgart65011971215
3Bayern MunichBayern64202061414
4Borussia DortmundDortmund6420126614
5RB Leipzig64111661013
6Hoffenheim6402139412
7Wolfsburg640296312
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt614145-17
9Heidenheim62131013-37
10Freiburg5212510-57
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin6204910-16
12Werder Bremen5203810-26
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach61231114-35
14Augsburg5122913-45
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum6033519-143
16FC Koln6015411-71
17SV Darmstadt 985014616-101
18Mainz 05Mainz6015417-131

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!